Mussa Dankwa’s whopping 17,000 respondents in three-month polls raise more doubts over credibility

Concerns are mounting over the credibility and methodology of research conducted by Global InfoAnalytics, a Ghanaian polling organisation wh...

Concerns are mounting over the credibility and methodology of research conducted by Global InfoAnalytics, a Ghanaian polling organisation whose recent National Tracking Polls have sparked controversy within political and research circles.

In the past three months alone, Global InfoAnalytics claims to have surveyed 16,997 respondents nationwide, producing projections on sensitive political questions such as who is likely to lead the National Democratic Congress (NDC) into the 2028 general election and who will emerge victorious in the New Patriotic Party (NPP)flagbearer race in January 2026.

However, the sheer volume of respondents, the overlapping timelines of surveys, and the lack of transparent methodological details have raised serious questions about the credibility of the data and the institution’s research capacity.

The Executive Director of Global InfoAnalytics, Mussa Dankwa, recently claimed that his outfit had interviewed 7,500 respondents — made up of both NPP delegates and ordinary citizens in the street — for its late September 2025 National Tracking Poll.

The findings projected outcomes for the upcoming NPP leadership contest involving Dr Mahamudu Bawumia, Bryan Acheampong, Kennedy Agyapong, Yaw Adutwum, andKwabena Agyapong.

Mr Dankwah projects Dr Bawumia to win the NPP flagbearer slot, with Kennedy coming second.

Yet, around the same period, the same research firm released another National Tracking Poll allegedly conducted in September 2025. That poll claimed to have surveyed 9,497 respondents across 83 randomly selected constituenciesin all 16 regions, rating Members of Parliament based on their performance.

According to the firm, the MP performance survey used a mix of telephone and face-to-face interviews, operating at a 99% confidence levelwith a margin of error of 1.3%. But critics say such precision is hard to verify given the absence of publicly available raw data, sampling framework, or independent audit of the research methods.

If both polls are taken at face value, Global InfoAnalytics would have interviewed almost 17,000 Ghanaians within three months, a logistical feat that many observers describe as implausible given the firm’s visible staff size and limited field infrastructure.

Some political analysts have described the institution’s growing influence as “rumour-driven” and “speculative,” accusing its leadership of cherry-picking respondents and releasing results that appear designed to shape public perception rather than measure it.

Research ethics experts have also called for greater transparency in the polling process, warning that frequent, unverified surveys risk undermining public trust in political data and distorting the democratic process.

“Public opinion polling is a serious scientific exercise, not a political tool,” one researcher noted. “When pollsters cannot account for methodology or consistency, their work borders on misinformation.”

With election-related tensions already heightening ahead of the 2026 NPP primaries and the 2028 general elections, calls are growing for the Ghana Statistical Service and independent research bodies to establish clearer standards and oversight mechanisms for political polling institutions.

Until then, Global InfoAnalytics’s National Tracking Polls, once seen as credible tools for gauging voter sentiment, risk losing their educational value and descending into speculation.

The top performing MPs with “Excellent” Ratings according to Global InfoAnalytics’s National Tracking Polls are;

Bimbilla (Northern Region): The MP recorded the highest “Excellent” rating in the country, with 94% of respondents rating performance as excellent.

Akatsi North (Volta Region): Also received strong approval with 88% rating the MP as excellent.

Builsa South (Upper East Region): Scored 87% excellent rating from constituents.

Asawase (Ashanti Region): Received a strong 40% excellent rating.

Banda (Bono Region): 68% of respondents said the MP’s performance was excellent.

Adaklu (Volta Region): Recorded 52% excellent.

Tain (Bono Region): 42% excellent rating.

Navrongo Central (Upper East Region): 44%excellent.

Bolga East (Upper East Region): 37% excellent rating.

Asuogyaman (Eastern Region): Scored 37% excellent.

Afram Plains South (Eastern Region): 33% excellent.

Sege (Greater Accra Region): 32%excellent.

Krowor (Greater Accra Region): 28%excellent.

Trobu (Greater Accra Region): 28%excellent.

Tema Central (Greater Accra Region): 17% excellent.

Kpandai (Northern Region): 18% excellent.

Pru East and West (Bono East Region): Each received an excellent 18%.

Zabzugu (Northern Region): 22% excellent.

Yapei/Kusawgu (Savannah Region): Also received 22% excellent.

Amenfi West (Western Region): 21% excellent.

Several other MPs across regions, including Central, Eastern, and Western North, received ratings between 10% and 20% in the “Excellent” category, indicating localised voter satisfaction with their parliamentary work.

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